The Innovation of Skepchicamp

March 3, 2010

Skeptics take note. This coming weekend something special is afoot in Chicago. It’s their first open skeptic conference which they’re dubbing “Skepchicamp“, a portmanteau of Skepchick and SkeptiCamp.

Organizers expect a strong turnout of 80 with a diverse roster of 20+ speakers for the day. They did gangbusters in raising money for the event — the first such fundraiser held to keep the event free to participants.

They’ve nailed collaboration in their organizing efforts, keeping their efforts visible to all through their website, Twitter and facebook feeds. This sets a standard for other SkeptiCamp organizers to emulate.

Even more worthy of note, they are innovating in a way that promises to overcome a key challenge facing SkeptiCamp.

As far as conference models go, SkeptiCamp (based on the tech-oriented BarCamp) is among the most lightweight. It does have its rules and practices to make for substantive, fun and engaging events, but these are few in number and flexible, allowing for organizers to tailor an event as needed.

One such practice encourages first-time speakers, which keeps the event fresh and provides ready opportunities for new people to get involved. Another key practice asks that attendees interact with the speakers during their talks. This stands to engage the attendee at a level not seen at a traditional lecture-oriented event. It also provides for some level of crowdsourced quality control.

Open events have their challenges, however. Left to themselves the speaker roster will favor the assertive, competitive and vain personality types (of mostly white guys, but there are of course exceptions.) As a result those of us reluctant to deal with such types will often decline to participate. This is poison to open events and a symptom of failure.

The naive remedy is to program the event and take away the openness. This requires recruiting someone to act in the role of gatekeeper — a conference programmer who decides which talks and speakers are worthy of the event.

That too is a failure. Requiring a programmer will make these events more difficult to organize. Having a programmer will produce a conference whose ‘balance’ risks reflecting the biases and social circle of the programmer.

That is not the SkeptiCamp way. SkeptiCamp asks that we retain openness while developing practices which overcome the challenges of open events.

Whether they realize it or not, the organizers of Skepchicamp have innovated in an important way that stands to address this problem, very simply by encouraging the participation of women in much the same way that BarCamp asks us to encourage first-time speakers.

In practical terms, those acting in the role of “Speaker Wrangler” for the event will prevail upon both men and women to give talks. However, in being aware of the personality types who might otherwise dominate an event, they can tailor their search as well as to set an expectation that the tone will be welcoming of all.

Those lucky enough to live in the Chicago area can view the result firsthand on Saturday. The rest of us will have to watch the Skepchicamp Twitter feed and read of the accounts on participant blogs.

See also BarCamp to Meet the Paranormal at WF?Fest


Taking a short break

February 23, 2010

Though I’ve got a folder crammed full of ideas to write about, I’m taking a short break from the writing.

Now concentrating on getting my training program going for a marathon this summer.

I’m scheduled to appear on Skeptically Speaking out of Edmonton, Alberta on Friday night.


Once A Grassroots Atheist

January 26, 2010

Graphic by Dan Adams

I’m a proponent of scratching one’s itches. If you’re like me you might occasionally stumble upon an idea that you find compelling. It might be a story, a computer program, a melody or whatever. Rather than ignoring it, you give the idea a small chance by taking it through its first steps — to write those first few lines of prose or code and see where it goes. There may be nothing there, allowing you to go on your way. But there exists a small chance you’ve stumbled upon something which can grow to be of great value.

Fifteen years ago I scratched such an itch, starting a quirky project on nothing more than a lark; a project that evolved in ways I’d never anticipated; a project that may ultimately have helped a staggering number of people.

The Celebrity Atheist List is born

My admittedly quirky project started with the posting of a list of famous atheists to the Usenet newsgroup alt.atheism back in 1995. I might have posted the list to a website, but the web was still in its infancy and nowhere near as dominant or accessible as it is now.

I solicited contributions, asking for names initially, and later for citations with good quotes to back them up. It was an early form of collaborative development that worked well. I collected the cites and edited them for inclusion in the list.

The project quickly found a home on the web. A noted secular and skeptical activist, Jim Lippard, offered to host the site where I’d be responsible for creating the content. It may have been around this time that the project acquired the name of the “Celebrity Atheist List” (CAL). I billed it simply as “An offbeat collection of notable individuals who have been public about their lack of belief in deities.” The CAL listed only the living, in part to reduce my editing effort. The deceased ended up in a site created by my friend Mark Gilbert who created a sister project called “Famous Dead Non-theists.”

Thanks to the “Way Back Machine” of archive.org you can see how the CAL appeared in these early days: here. Note that the site featured over 200 names listed in the atheist category at this early point.

Sometime around the year 2000 I moved the CAL to its own domain name, celebatheists.com. System administrators for the Secular Web graciously provided hosting space (though the CAL was never officially affiliated with the organization.)

The list grew steadily over the years following that very basic model of names with cited quotes. Traffic also increased, driven initially by directories like Yahoo and eventually by search engines like Google. Today the search engines drive daily visitors to the site in the thousands.

In spite of my efforts to reduce the maintenance effort, I eventually burned-out on the project and gave the CAL away a few years back. These days it’s in the hands of Brian Sapient of Rational Response Squad fame. Apart from his addition of advertising, the site remains pretty much the same and continues to grow.

The rationale shifts

Simple, open-ended ideas are powerful in that they can evolve in ways that their creators never anticipated. The CAL, or rather its rationale, evolved in ways that I never anticipated.

This project started largely out of fun, with a secondary attempt to demonstrate the diversity of atheists. Reading the blasphemous quotes of people you recognize and admire can be an entertaining diversion. Why is magician Penn Jillette an atheist? To answer you have to look no further than his entry in the CAL which excerpts a few of his quotes from published sources. (Of course today you wouldn’t have to look far to find other evidence of Jillette’s atheism.)

Fun sites can be a value in themselves. But the rationale for the CAL didn’t need to stop there.

The CAL could serve to put a human face on atheism. Back in the days when very few people were public about their godlessness, the site brought together a diverse group of recognizable and respected people (as well as a few nuts) speaking frankly about their lack of faith. It provided solid ammunition against those who sought to dehumanize atheists.

The other reason is psychological. A caveat: because I’m not a psychologist, you should take this with a grain of salt, but I’ll try to state the reason as clearly as possible.

In making a decision, rational argument isn’t sufficient for many of us. We need an emotional component to support the decision. For example, you may veto the purchase of a new car unless it’s available in a specific color you want. Your need for the emotionally satisfying color is at least as important as your meticulous research into pricing and features.

For those of us atheists considering stepping from the closet, rational argument similarly may be insufficient. An emotional component may be necessary. So where does the CAL come in?

Where we have established an emotional connection to another person, it might be enough to get us over the hump. It could be a recording artist whose music moves us. An actor who skillfully drew us into a role. An author whose work we admire, or possibly a comedian whose wit speaks to us. If they can step from the closet and survive intact, then maybe we can too.

No longer was the CAL merely a ‘fun’ project, but it had grown and could stand to help people in novel and unplanned ways.

The influence of search

The atheist bus ads and billboard campaigns of recent years are a good example of outreach to a broader audience who would not otherwise be aware of an atheist movement. The ads can be seen by millions, a few of whom will be intrigued and follow up.

Initially the CAL was visible only to those seeking atheist content. You’d find it listed prominently in the Yahoo Directory which drove much of its early traffic. However the net was about to change in a big way with the rise of the search engine.

The CAL was in the right place at the right time. When the search engines rendered web directories like Yahoo’s obsolete, the CAL was no longer merely frequented by atheists, but rather it was visited by a broader audience of web surfers. Celebrity names, it seems, are like honey to search rank algorithms, especially for websites with good reputations.

Though these algorithms are forever evolving in an attempt to stay a step ahead of the spammers, it’s not uncommon for someone to be searching on a celebrity name and find the celebrity’s page in the CAL listed at a respectable position in the results. (For a term like ‘atheist‘ the CAL often shows up high on the first page of results, a position that is enormously difficult to attain.)

The only concrete metric I’ve tracked over the years are page load counts. In the past year the CAL looks to have averaged 5,432 page loads a day. It’s not clear what that translates to in terms of visitors, or much less in providing value to those who visit. Complicating the picture are caching (artificially depressing the numbers) and web-crawling bots (raising the numbers.)

Nonetheless 5,432 page loads/day translates to nearly two million page loads a year. Of course the numbers weren’t always that high, but they’ve been at roughly this level for several years. That amounts to a staggering number of eyeballs over a 15 year period, many of which are encountering not a dry intellectual atheism but rather one to which their owners can make a human connection.

The CAL hasn’t been alone in trying to attract those eyeballs, however.

Others stepping into the space

Creating a list of famous atheists on the Internet is not an idea that would have escaped others. However, being first to the field conferred the CAL an authoritative position in this quirky niche. That lead could be easily maintained so long as I kept the content fairly fresh.

For example, there has been no shortage of ‘atheist quote’ sites which trod the same ground. However, I made an effort to keep the CAL a couple steps ahead and position it not as a quote site, but rather as a tool to measure the willingness of notable living people to be open about their godlessness.

In the end, Wikipedia was the only serious contender. Backed by a collaborative group of users whose numbers dwarfed my own, they quickly built up an impressive ‘List of Atheists’ page. However it failed in a fundamental way in bypassing the central value of the CAL. For each entry on their list they included references but notably omitted the salient quotes that provide so much value to the CAL. References are essential but are far more likely to be ignored rather than pursued. For all their effort and capability they constructed another threadbare list of atheists. In any case, they consigned their project to the search-engine sidelines in renaming it to the dry “List of Non-theists.” The threat was gone and the CAL would prevail!

A series of other projects arose that weren’t so much competitors but rather children or siblings to the CAL.

Warren Allen Smith drew upon the CAL to build his “Who’s Who in Hell” book, bringing at least a portion of the CAL into print form. (I incidentally merited a complimentary entry.) It’s pricey at $73.56 for a used copy.

In 2007 Richard Dawkins launched his OUT Campaign, a complementary effort inspired by the gay rights movement that encourages atheists to be more open about their unbelief.

More recently, Russell Blackford’s new book 50 Voices of Disbelief: Why We Are Atheists with essays by prominent people talking about their unbelief. Very much like the CAL, but in long form.

You can find the ‘50 Most Brilliant Atheists of all Time‘ which filters the CAL (or the Wikipedia list) for its smarter members.

Most recently, with Ireland’s new anti-blasphemy law coming into effect, an Irish atheist organization published a list of “25 Blasphemous Quotes” for which they gained heavy international news coverage. A few of the quotes look to be sourced from my own edits to the CAL, such as that of Björk.

In closing

In spite of the page counts and anti-blasphemy publicity, it’s enormously difficult to quantify the value of the CAL. As a fun project it was worth giving it a start. Later it proved its ongoing value for its ability to put a human face on a difficult issue for many.

Over the years I’ve received a couple dozen emails from people thanking me for the CAL, but that may be all the concrete evidence I’ll ever have of it helping people. The actual numbers could be considerably larger, staggeringly so. But I can live with that uncertainty as the project didn’t start with a grand plan, but rather to scratch an itch.

The CAL’s days may be numbered even as it continues to prove its value as an aging workhorse in pulling the load of search-based outreach. With the rise of social media and new tools for collaboration, the next generation of outreach projects are likely to provide that human connection as a core feature.

However it won’t be me doing this. The CAL did give me a taste for ideas that can grow, but I’m most likely to be pursuing them in other domains. Nevertheless I am glad to have had an opportunity to contribute.

UPDATE: I should add Mark Gilbert’s rationale for his aforementioned Famous Dead Non-theists list, which applies to the CAL as well:

The purposes of this list are to combat the pervasive myth that atheists are terrible, immoral people and to convince the undecided that it is OK to be an atheist. Just like any other large group of people, some of these people lived exemplary lives and others did not.  The point is not that these people are all heroes, but simply to notice that there are more nontheists out there than most people realize.


I Am A Grassroots Skeptic

January 18, 2010

A three-part series of posts on the third anniversary of my becoming an active skeptic and the subsequent effort to adapt open conferencing to contemporary skepticism.

UPDATE: At the Grassroots Skeptics site, Part I, Part II and Part III.


The UFO Movement’s Ball and Chain

January 12, 2010

UFOsLiving in Colorado, I try to take interest in our local fringe personalities and organizations. Those like Richard Heene of Fort Collins, the father of balloon-boy fame, is a self-described ‘psyentist’ (homonym of ’scientist’) who not only built a large metallic balloon and chased storms as widely reported, but also investigates psychic phenomena and what he believes to be intense magnetic anomalies within tornadoes.

Jeff Peckman of Denver is another. After failing in 2003 to get a ballot measure passed to promote public safety through “increasing peacefulness”, he has recently succeeded in gaining a sufficient number of signatures to get a new measure on the ballot for the coming city elections. This measure, if accepted by Denver voters, would assemble a commission to prepare the city for a possible visit by extraterrestrials. To back up his claim, he drew upon evidence provided by Stan Romanek of Greeley, famous within the UFO community for having the ‘best documented’ testimony of alleged contact with aliens.

To put it bluntly, I don’t think much of Heene or Peckman. I think even less of Romanek.

Romanek is the guy behind the ‘alien in the window‘ video that was pumped-up in the media in May of 2008 but never released. (Reinactments and hoaxes spawned on YouTube, a few of which went viral.) He then claimed to be sitting on strong evidence of alien contact but at the time had been reluctant to release that evidence outside of a DVD documentary that was then in the works.

The UFO community has likely asked itself the question whether Romanek actually has the goods to back his claims. If he could present reliable evidence, it would be of considerable interest to humanity and would secure his reputation and enrich him beyond measure. It wouldn’t make sense for him to embargo the evidence to make a cheap buck off of DVD sales. To an outsider as myself, it’s comical. Why doesn’t the UFO community raise its voice in anger over the mockery Romanek brings to their movement? Has the UFO community grown so cynical of late that no claim, however extraordinary, deserves public challenge by its major players?

In spite of his fringe status in the UFO community, Romanek still makes rounds on the conference circuit. He at least retains the sort of credibility that can draw an audience. However in spite of this credibility (and to my surprise) I recently discovered that someone prominent within the community has stepped-up to take Stan to task on the topic. It’s another Coloradoan by the name of James Carrion of Fort Collins who hadn’t yet hit my radar. He heads MUFON, one of the principle UFO organizations with some 3,000 members.

Carrion wrote in his blog last October:

Now I have said it before and I will say it again, if the Romaneks want to prove their claims, then they should release ALL of their alleged video and photo evidence for the world and independent researchers to examine and analyze. Instead they have tried to paint that I am on some sort of personal vendetta to discredit their claims.

Romanek has even threatened legal action against Carrion over the matter.

This was unexpected. I wondered if this was merely another personality spat within the UFO movement, or perhaps a signal of a serious attempt to reform the UFO movement by purging itself of those who persistently make unfounded claims?

I’d known that MUFON emphasizes investigation — scientific investigation of UFO phenomena — but I never had any reason to take them seriously, in part because I’d never hear them speak an ill word about Romanek or Peckman.

So it was time to give them a fresh look. I found an extended 90 minute interview (mp3 link) with Carrion from last June, predating his blog confrontation of Romanek by several months. He says:

“I’ve always been interested in [mysteries]” (00:04:30)

As do most of us skeptics. He even prefers that they be solved, which is promising.

Until he had joined MUFON as a member a decade back, he had investigated and rejected other groups, presumably for their lack of rigor:

“[I was] exposed to a couple of different groups [...] too esoteric or new age for my liking” (00:05:03)

This I can sympathize with as there exist weird groups — some of which are engaged in the worship of UFOs and extraterrestrial beings. Carrion separates himself from these groups by asserting a skeptical stance:

“I’m truly a skeptic at heart [and focused on taking] a look at the subject from a scientific viewpoint.” (00:05:07)

That’s promising, but what exactly do he and MUFON mean by science?

Of course, merely claiming to do ’science,’ or to claim to be a scientist, does not make it so. Science is not merely about gathering and cataloging data. It is about drafting hypotheses that make testable predictions. It’s about developing theories that provide explanatory power. It’s about eliminating sources of bias and presenting one’s findings to one’s harshest critics to see if they can pass muster.

My central point of curiosity was whether Carrion and MUFON had any interest in such a standard. It’s a demanding standard that risks soberly abandoning a conclusion where the backing evidence never materializes.

The UFO community has several working hypotheses to help explain UFO phenomena, but one that persists is the Extraterrestrial Hypothesis (ETH):

[In 1969, physicist Edward Condon defined ETH as the "idea that some UFOs may be spacecraft sent to Earth from another civilization or space other than earth, or on a planet associated with a more distant star," wikipedia]

This is an interesting hypothesis. Any given sighting could potentially be an alien spacecraft containing not only technology far more advanced than our own, but also offers the tantalizing prospect of life having originated beyond our planet. For us to understand the technology could open the galaxy to humanity.

Is the ETH testable? According to Carrion, I was surprised to hear that he judged it as beyond the reach of science:

“This is a tough subject because for a hypothesis to be viable, it has to be falsifiable. And that is one of the problems with the ETH. There’s no way you can prove that they’re here if there’s no way you can disprove they’re here.” (00:06:40)

Really?

First off, UFOs are routinely found to have natural explanations (the planet Venus, aircraft lights, etc.) which shows that individual sightings can be investigated and falsified against a claim of extraterrestrial origin. MUFON does this all the time, as Carrion knows well.

Second, the main requirement of a hypothesis is that you can test it. If Carrion were to recover physical evidence of extraterrestrial technology such as a chunk of metal alloy, an integrated circuit or biological device, he could bring it into a laboratory to have it analyzed. If he recovered blood or flesh from an alien creature, it could be shown to have no relation to the biology we have on earth.

Clearly Carrion must be familiar with the possibility of testing recovered technology or biological matter. It’s unclear why he would think that science would be so impotent as to be irrelevant to testing the ETH.

Carrion laments the lack of respect of UFOlogy among science professionals:

“[...] It’s probably why mainstream science shies away from this field in general, because most people associate UFOs with ETH.”

Isn’t it more likely that mainstream science shies away from the UFO field because there is no reliable evidence in its favor? Doesn’t he think any scientist would leap at the chance of examining alien technology or biology or culture?  For crying out loud, these aren’t ghosts and goblins. These are supposedly physical craft and creatures as so often claimed.

However, there’s a far more disturbing reason why Carrion and others will never gain the scientific legitimacy they so desperately seek. I’ll let Carrion speak:

“I can tell you one thing that I’ve observed in the time that I’ve been in MUFON, especially as the International Director. I absolutely believe that there is an active interest on the part of certain elements within the government in the subject. I’m not really sure exactly why — there could be national security implications for why they’re interested, but I’ve come to a fundamental conclusion on how we’re going to make progress in understanding the phenomena, we’ve to eliminate the government wild card in this. It’s obvious to me based on research I’ve done [...] there are folks who have meddled in the field for their own purposes for way too long and have muddied the waters and they’ve tried to obscure the truth. We’re going to have a miserable time coming to the understanding of this so long as that meddling continues.  Some call it conspiracy; I say it’s reality.” (00:14:42)

Much of the remainder of the interview continues along these lines where Carrion states repeatedly that governmental entities are engaged in a sustained disinformation campaign against the media and members of the UFO community, including himself.

He acknowledges that this sort of language is common within UFO circles. But I wonder if he realizes how he appears to outsiders, where such language comes across as positively nutty. Is Carrion blind to his own words and how he comes across? Is he unaware that this language strikes others as lame excuses for his not being able to deliver the goods in providing cogent explanations of UFO phenomena?

The science-oriented skeptical movement (of which I’m part) doesn’t seem to have this baggage. For me to assert conspiracy in the absence of evidence would be treated by my fellow skeptics as a logical fallacy — specifically an argument from ignorance. It is a symptom of bias, faulty thinking, and in certain cases undiagnosed mental illness.

So Carrion and MUFON seem to be between a rock and a hard place. They aspire to the legitimacy of science yet cannot let go of the malignancy of conspiratorial thinking that will forever keep their aspirations beyond arm’s reach.

But I’m glad that Carrion is calling bullshit on Romanek. It’s a bit late, but still a baby-step towards reality.